Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 5.861207 6.427896 7.050909 7.791468 8.654101 9.635131 10.846712
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 5.038025 5.811154 6.730127 7.922546 9.459175 11.417917 14.183171
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.444104 5.286917 6.338878 7.784568 9.782186 12.550897 16.895700
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.029517 4.904509 6.037461 7.665409 10.044914 13.584396 19.691958
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.689985 4.570820 5.744363 7.491633 10.166331 14.392682 22.338482
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.455677 4.348800 5.570014 7.449284 10.455733 15.498738 25.866420
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.264894 4.166037 5.426837 7.425646 10.756394 16.672098 29.982780
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.151340 4.079337 5.409281 7.585691 11.377700 18.563379 36.584638
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.950825 3.852106 5.162231 7.347435 11.260224 18.984747 39.811748
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.774074 3.647769 4.933506 7.114097 11.114619 19.312058 42.984520
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.638482 3.495608 4.773167 6.978132 11.129330 19.987631 47.645308
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.526368 3.371738 4.647694 6.888511 11.218702 20.854489 53.596561
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.500234 3.382506 4.745676 7.219717 12.248072 24.419266 74.118241
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.429896 3.321944 4.725493 7.339951 12.876023 27.268761 97.169714
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.321054 3.194247 4.584125 7.216935 12.944290 28.577306 114.975446
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.224747 3.080868 4.458562 7.110447 13.032152 29.999876 137.807978
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.128061 2.961789 4.315346 6.954977 12.977936 30.960479 160.791886
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.058259 2.882466 4.235321 6.917060 13.206308 33.020589 204.775447
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.996289 2.812660 4.167137 6.895890 13.474476 35.389631 270.471589
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.963442 2.788818 4.178123 7.039151 14.204881 40.070143 438.422561
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.880882 2.678571 4.027602 6.825823 13.924093 40.263892 508.947237
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.803879 2.574792 3.883899 6.616543 13.626825 40.292325 586.282632
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.743725 2.497063 3.783853 6.494434 13.562211 41.445651 759.864566